As October unfolds, crypto markets are still grappling with the term “Uptober”: For the uninitiated, “Uptober” is an amalgamation of “up” and “October,” which describes the historical trend where Bitcoin, and often other major cryptocurrencies, witness a surge in prices in October.
As Bitcoin begins the month above $28,000, its highest since mid-August, many are expecting a promising Uptober.
But why has this month been so significant for crypto enthusiasts?
Historical data reveals an interesting pattern: Bitcoin has posted gains in all but two Octobers since 2013: the only exceptions they were the years 2018 and 2019.
On the other hand, September often earns the nickname “Rektember” due to its frequent price drops.
Analysts at Hargreaves Lansdown discuss the importance of Uptober
While past performance does not guarantee future results, these trends can create self-fulfilling prophecies.
“Crypto has a spring in its step earlier this month, which has already been nicknamed ‘Uptober,'” Streeter said.
“There is speculation that given past performance, there could be a few positive weeks for coins and tokens.”
The surge is not just speculative: factors such as the recent licensing of Coinbase by Singapore’s central bank play a major role in bolstering market sentiment.
However, Streeter also warns of the dangers lurking in the crypto markets, especially after the collapse of the FTX exchange.
“Crypto Wild West remains a fragile niche in the larger financial system, where money is wagered on highly speculative assets; in this opaque world, fraud is rife and the clamor for greater regulation will only increase,” Streeter added.
Uptober vs. Traditional financial events in 2023
In the midst of this, traditional financial events will inevitably play a role in crypto market movements.
Next week (October 9-13) marks the start of earnings season, with major financial institutions such as JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo, Citigroup and BlackRock reporting earnings.
We’re also ready to receive the latest inflation readings, which shed light on economic health.
Meanwhile, non-financial giants like Amazon are also making wavesthe e-commerce giant will host its “Prime Big Deal Days” event, which could indirectly influence the overall investment climate and, in turn, crypto market sentiment.
So what does all this mean for the average investor?
While Bitcoin’s historical performance in October is certainly promising, it is essential to tread carefully.
“Investors should be wary of trying to take a ride on crypto just in these moments of momentum,” Streeter stressed.
“While it seems clear that cryptocurrencies are here to stay, the waiting game continues for more regulated options for investors.”
As we move through Uptober, this remains to be seen whether Bitcoin and its counterparts will skyrocket or whether unexpected events will dampen the spirits of crypto markets.
Regardless of the outcome, one thing remains certain: in the ever-evolving crypto industry, every month brings its share of new surprises.
Disclaimer: Crypto is a high risk asset class. This article is provided for informational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. You could lose all your capital.